Deep learning to estimate aging from chest imaging

• Applicants: Professor Dr. Shadi Albarqouni; Dr. Jakob Weiss
• Subject Area: Radiology
• Term: since 2023
• Project identifier: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 525002713

Chronologic age is an important risk factor for many chronic diseases. However, as we all age at different rates chronological age is an imperfect measure of aging and more accurate estimates of one’s true biological age are desirable. The proposed study will develop and test artificial intelligence-based measures of aging from chest imaging data and will explore whether these measures can improve chronologic age-based clinical guidelines for prevention of cardiovascular disease and cancer. Over recent decades life expectancy has continuously increased, however, the years of life without significant morbidity have remained stable over the last 5 decades resulting in significant socioeconomic burden to society and the healthcare system. Therefore, delaying the onset of morbidity is a promising way to improve healthy aging. In particular, prevention and early detection of diseases of high socioeconomic importance such as cancer and cardiovascular disease are a priority to increase health and longevity. Biological age is a concept to estimate the differences in rates of aging not captured by chronologic age. Several measures of biological age have been developed in recent years including blood, functional and physiological approaches. However, there relevance in clinical routine is limited. Medical imaging may be an effective way to estimate aging by measuring age-related changes based on anatomical alterations visible in the image such as degenerative changes of the spine, dilation of the heart and vasculature and changes in lung parenchyma. Unlike molecular measures, image-based reflections of aging can be calculated opportunistically using data acquired during routine clinical care. Furthermore, these measures can estimate aging of specific organ systems, which may improve disease-specific preventive measures over general estimates of biological age. The image-based estimates of aging using deep learning proposed in this study will address this unmet need and may help to personalize clinical decision-making for chronic disease screening and prevention. My preliminary data show that deep learning can estimate a chest x-ray age from a chest radiograph image and that this chest x-ray age predicts longevity better than chronologic age in large multicenter clinical trial data. The proposed project will build on these promising initial findings with the potential to broaden the application to other imaging modalities and to leverage multi-omics data to infer causes of aging.

• DFG Programme: Research Grants