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Resource-efficient probabilistic forecasts of rainfall in tropical Africa (C02)

Subject Area Atmospheric Science
Mathematics
Term from 2015 to 2024
Project identifier Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 257899354
 
Forecasting precipitation in the tropics remains a substantial challenge, in particular in tropical Africa, where potential socio-economic benefits are large. Here we will provide a first-ever systematic assessment of a wide range of forecast approaches spanning several orders of magnitude in terms of their costs. The types of fore-casts considered include climatological benchmarks, ensemble predictions generated from deterministic forecasts, statistical forecasts of varying complexity and output from standard weather models using different resolutions and treatments of thunderstorms.
DFG Programme CRC/Transregios
 
 

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